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Книга COVID-19 Pandemic Dynamics Igor Nesteruk

COVID-19 Pandemic Dynamics

Mathematical Simulations

Автор: Igor Nesteruk
Език: Английски език
Корици: С меки корици
Издател: Springer Verlag, Singapore
Наличност: Външен склад
Изпращаме след 5-8 дни
136.50 € 266.97 лв
This book highlights the estimate of epidemic characteristics for different countries/regions in the...

Информация за книгата

Автор
Igor Nesteruk
Език
Английски език
Корици
Книга - С меки корици
Издадена
2022
страници
172
EAN
9789813364189
Enbook ID
38629341
Издател
Springer Verlag, Singapore
Теглоt
291
Размери
155 x 235 x 11

Пълно описание

This book highlights the estimate of epidemic characteristics for different countries/regions in the world with the use of known SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) model for the dynamics of the epidemic, the known exact solution of the linear differential equations and statistical approach developed before. The COVID-19 pandemic is of great interest to researchers due to its high mortality and a negative impact to the world economy. Correct simulation of the pandemic dynamics needs complicated mathematical models and many efforts for unknown parameters identification. The simple method of detection of the new pandemic wave is proposed and SIR model generalized. The hidden periods, epidemic durations, final numbers of cases, the effective reproduction numbers and probabilities of meeting an infected person are presented for countries like USA, Germany, UK, the Republic of Korea, Italy, Spain, France, the Republic of Moldova, Ukraine, and for the world. The presented information is useful to regulate the quarantine activities and to predict the medical and economic consequences of different/future pandemics.

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