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Good Thinking

The Foundations of Probability and Its Applications

Автор: Irving John Good

Език:

Корици: С меки корици

Издател: Dover Publications Inc.

Наличност: 50% вероятност

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Acknowledgments Introduction Part I. Bayesian Rationality 1. Rational Decisions 2. Twenty-seven Prin...

Информация за книгата

Автор

Irving John Good

Език

Английски език

Корици

Книга - С меки корици

Издадена

2009

страници

352

EAN

9780486474380

ISBN

0486474380

Enbook ID

02568662

Издател

Dover Publications Inc.

Теглоt

418

Размери

215 x 141 x 36

Пълно описание

Acknowledgments Introduction Part I. Bayesian Rationality 1. Rational Decisions 2. Twenty-seven Principles of Rationality 3. 46656 Varieties of Bayesians 4. The Bayesian Influence, or How to Sweep Subjectivism under the Carpet Part II. Probability 5. Which Comes First, Probability or Statistics 6. Kinds of Probability 7. Sublective Probability as the Measure of a Non-measurable Set 8. Random Thoughts about Randomness 9. Some History of the Hierarchical Bayesian Methodology 10. Dynamic Probability, Computer Chess, and the Measurement of Knowledge Part III . Corroboration, Hypothesis Testing, Induction, and Simplicity 11. The White Shoe is a Red Herring 12. The White Shoe qua Herring is Pink 13. A Sublective Evaluation of Bode's Law and an "Objective" Test for Approximate Numerical Rationality 14.Some Logic and History of Hypothesis Testing 15. Explicativity, Corroboration, and the Relative Odds of Hypothesis Part IV Information and Surprise 16. The Appropriate Mathematical Tools for Describing and Measuring Uncertainty 17. On the Principle of Total Evidence 18.A Little Learning Can Be Dangerous 19. The Probabilistic Explication of Information, Evidence, Surprise, Causality, Explanation, and Utility 20. Is the Size of Our Galaxy Surprising? Part V. Causality and Explanation 21. A Causal Calculus 22. A Simplification in the "Causal Calculus" 23. Explicativity: A Mathematical Theory of Explanations with Statistical Applications References Bibliography Sublect Index of the Bibliography Name Index Sublect Index

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The Foundations of Probability and Its Applications

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