How to Predict the Unpredictable

Name: How to Predict the Unpredictable
Brand: Oneworld Publications
SKU: 9781780747200
Price: 12.44 EUR
Availability: InStock

Автор: William Poundstone

Език:

Корици: С меки корици

Издател: Oneworld Publications

Наличност: Външен склад

Изпращаме след 10-18 дни

12.44 € 24.33 лв

We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase 'winning streak...

Информация за книгата

Автор

William Poundstone

Език

Английски език

Корици

Книга - С меки корици

Издадена

2015

страници

304

EAN

9781780747200

ISBN

1780747209

Enbook ID

09212653

Издател

Oneworld Publications

Теглоt

284

Размери

172 x 197 x 23

Пълно описание

We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase 'winning streaks' that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be. In the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky coined the phrase 'representativeness' to describe the psychology of this behaviour. Since then representativeness has been used by auditors to catch people fiddling their tax returns and by hedge fund managers to reap billions from the emotions of small investors. Now Poundstone for the first time makes these techniques fun, easy, and profitable for everyone, in the everyday situations that matter. You'll learn how to tackle multiple choice tests, what internet passwords to avoid, how to up your odds of winning the office Premier League sweepstakes, and the best ways to invest your money.

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