Книга Modeling Multi-period Corporate Defaults Tuohua Wu

Modeling Multi-period Corporate Defaults

Macro, Contagion and Frailty Effects in Default Clustering

Автор: Tuohua Wu
Език: Английски език
Корици: С меки корици
Издател: Scholars' Press
Наличност: Външен склад
Изпращаме след 8-11 дни
44.85 87.71 лв
This book explores various channels for default clustering. The probability of extreme default loss...

Информация за книгата

Автор
Език
Английски език
Корици
Книга - С меки корици
Издадена
2013
страници
104
EAN
9783639512274
ISBN
3639512278
Enbook ID
12627046
Издател
Теглоt
163
Размери
152 x 229 x 6

Пълно описание

This book explores various channels for default clustering. The probability of extreme default losses in U.S. corporate portfolio is much greater than that estimated from model containing only observed macroeconomic variables. The additional sources of default clustering are provided by direct contagion and latent frailty factor. I build a top-down proportional hazard rate model with self-exciting specification. I develop efficient method of moment for parameter estimation and goodness-of-fit tests for the default counting process. My estimates are based on U.S. public firms between 1970 and 2008. I find strong evidence that contagion and frailty are equally important in capturing large portfolio losses. My empirical findings can be used by banks and credit portfolio managers for economic capital calculations and dynamic risk management.

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