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Книга Predictability and Nonlinear Modelling in Natural Sciences and Economics J. Grasman

Predictability and Nonlinear Modelling in Natural Sciences and Economics

Автор: J. Grasman, G. van Straten
Език: Английски език
Корици: С меки корици
Издател: Springer
Наличност: Външен склад
Изпращаме след 5-8 дни
50.21 € 98.20 лв
Researchers in the natural sciences are faced with problems that require a novel approach to improve...

Информация за книгата

Автор
J. Grasman, G. van Straten
Език
Английски език
Корици
Книга - С меки корици
Издадена
2012
страници
653
EAN
9789401044165
ISBN
9789401044165
Enbook ID
06618326
Издател
Springer
Теглоt
1043
Размери
160 x 240 x 36

Пълно описание

Researchers in the natural sciences are faced with problems that require a novel approach to improve the quality of forecasts of processes that are sensitive to environmental conditions. Nonlinearity of a system may significantly complicate the predictability of future states: a small variation of parameters can dramatically change the dynamics, while sensitive dependence of the initial state may severely limit the predictability horizon. Uncertainties also play a role. §This volume addresses such problems by using tools from chaos theory and systems theory, adapted for the analysis of problems in the environmental sciences. Sensitive dependence on the initial state (chaos) and the parameters are analyzed using methods such as Lyapunov exponents and Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in the structure and the values of parameters of a model is studied in relation to processes that depend on the environmental conditions. These methods also apply to biology and economics. §For research workers at universities and (semi)governmental institutes for the environment, agriculture, ecology, meteorology and water management, and theoretical economists.

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