Trusting Judgements

Name: Trusting Judgements
Brand: Cambridge University Press
SKU: 9781107531024
Price: 37.93 EUR
Availability: InStock

How to Get the Best out of Experts

Автор: Mark A. Burgman

Език:

Корици: С меки корици

Издател: Cambridge University Press

Наличност: Външен склад в ограничено количество

Изпращаме след 14-21 дни

37.93 € 74.18 лв

Policy and decision makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without fu...

Информация за книгата

Автор

Mark A. Burgman

Език

Английски език

Корици

Книга - С меки корици

Издадена

2015

страници

214

EAN

9781107531024

ISBN

1107531020

Enbook ID

09361243

Издател

Cambridge University Press

Теглоt

348

Размери

153 x 229 x 13

Пълно описание

Policy and decision makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy and decision makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made.

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